Elon
W-L: ( 1-14) PR = 87.0026Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 1- 3 206 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 3-15 207 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 2- 3 208 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 4-13 210 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 5 217 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1-13 220 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 222 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 1- 4 225 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 2- 5 227 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-20 303 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 2-14 311 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 2-14 313 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3- 7 315 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 9- 2 317 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 1-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Saint Joseph's 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.20
206 A North Carolina 3-15 -12 -8 -- -4.47
207 A Iowa 2- 3 -1 -7 ++ 5.70
208 H James Madison 4-13 -9 -5 -- -4.02
210 A Charlotte 3- 5 -2 -6 ++ 4.04
217 H Duke 1-13 -12 -9 - -3.13
220 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -13 ++ 5.88
222 H UT Arlington 1- 4 -3 -3 0.40
225 H North Carolina 2- 5 -3 -6 + 3.04
227 H Indiana 1-20 -19 -8 -- -5.51
303 A NC State 2-14 -12 -7 -- -5.49
311 H Virginia Tech 2-14 -12 -9 - -2.72
313 H Tarleton State 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.27
315 H Tarleton State 9- 2 7 -4 +++ 10.73
317 A East Carolina 1-10 -9 -5 - -3.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A North Carolina 3-15 -12 -8 -- -4.47 208 H James Madison 4-13 -9 -5 -- -4.02 227 H Indiana 1-20 -19 -8 -- -5.51 303 A NC State 2-14 -12 -7 -- -5.49 217 H Duke 1-13 -12 -9 - -3.13 311 H Virginia Tech 2-14 -12 -9 - -2.72 317 A East Carolina 1-10 -9 -5 - -3.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Tarleton State 9- 2 7 -4 +++ 10.73 207 A Iowa 2- 3 -1 -7 ++ 5.70 210 A Charlotte 3- 5 -2 -6 ++ 4.04 220 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -13 ++ 5.88 225 H North Carolina 2- 5 -3 -6 + 3.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 1- 3 -10.36 9.01 -0.74 1.68 -9.33
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 3-15 -6.11 13.26 0.74 1.68 -4.51
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 2- 3 -6.94 12.43 0.74 1.68 -5.21
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 4-13 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 1.68 -6.65
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 3- 5 -7.60 11.77 0.74 1.68 -5.76
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 1-13 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 1.68 -3.38
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.68 -0.02
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 1- 4 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 1.68 -7.98
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 2- 5 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 1.68 -5.76
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1-20 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 1.68 -3.70
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 2-14 -7.13 12.24 0.74 1.68 -5.36
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 2-14 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 1.68 -3.04
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 3- 7 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 1.68 -7.70
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 9- 2 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 1.68 34.28
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 1-10 -8.62 10.75 0.74 1.68 -6.62
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-40.74
|
winning pts = 34.2811 losing points = -75.0193
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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